← Back to Markets

Claude 5 released by…?

View Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's Claude 5 model is made available to the general public by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes," Claude 5 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public. Claude 5 refers to a product explicitly named Claude 5 (e.g. Claude 5.0 would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4, similar to the progression from Claude 2 to Claude 3. Products labeled as Claude 4.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

Markets (3)

Sort by:

Will Claude 5 be released by December 31?

$52,056 vol $0 liquidity
YES
100¢
NO

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's Claude 5 model is made available to the general public by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For this market...

Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?

$148,154 vol $12,894 liquidity
92¢
YES
NO

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's Claude 5 model is made available to the general public by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For this market to...

Will Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026?

$23,588 vol $9,630 liquidity
88¢
YES
12¢
NO

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's Claude 5 model is made available to the general public by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For this market to...

Event Stats

24h Volume $98,009
Total Volume $223,797
Liquidity $22,525
Markets 3
End Date 2025-12-31

Related Categories