← Back to Markets
View Rules

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's March 2026 meeting. If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps) The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for March 17 - 18, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their March meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.

Markets (4)

Sort by:

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?

$19,472,445 vol $1,547,917 liquidity Ends: 2026-03-18
YES
99¢
NO

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FO...

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?

$4,315,287 vol $780,831 liquidity Ends: 2026-03-18
YES
92¢
NO

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FO...

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?

$4,826,061 vol $1,134,186 liquidity Ends: 2026-03-18
90¢
YES
10¢
NO

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FO...

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?

$21,858,826 vol $704,247 liquidity Ends: 2026-03-18
YES
98¢
NO

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FO...

Event Stats

24h Volume $7,790,110
Total Volume $50,472,619
Liquidity $4,167,180
Markets 4
End Date 2026-03-18