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This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between December 4, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef). If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.

Markets (9)

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Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?

$370,928 vol $0 liquidity
52¢
YES
48¢
NO

Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?

$173,643 vol $0 liquidity
18¢
YES
82¢
NO

Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?

$111,484 vol $0 liquidity
0¢
YES
100¢
NO

Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?

$79,082 vol $0 liquidity
3¢
YES
97¢
NO

Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?

$58,019 vol $0 liquidity
4¢
YES
96¢
NO

Will there be exactly 6 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?

$50,229 vol $0 liquidity
13¢
YES
87¢
NO

Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?

$46,074 vol $0 liquidity
2¢
YES
98¢
NO

Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?

$31,729 vol $0 liquidity
11¢
YES
89¢
NO

Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?

$25,181 vol $0 liquidity
0¢
YES
100¢
NO

Event Stats

Total Volume $946,368
Liquidity $37,352
Markets 9
End Date 2026-06-30

Related Categories

weather pop-culture science climate-science natural-disasters earthquakes