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This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef). If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.

Markets (7)

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Will there be fewer than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?

$128,808 vol $0 liquidity
1¢
YES
99¢
NO

Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?

$103,669 vol $0 liquidity
12¢
YES
88¢
NO

Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?

$94,865 vol $0 liquidity
30¢
YES
70¢
NO

Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?

$46,466 vol $0 liquidity
19¢
YES
81¢
NO

Will there be between 5 and 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?

$40,524 vol $0 liquidity
5¢
YES
95¢
NO

Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?

$33,701 vol $0 liquidity
25¢
YES
75¢
NO

Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?

$29,105 vol $0 liquidity
7¢
YES
93¢
NO

Event Stats

Total Volume $477,138
Liquidity $31,992
Markets 7
End Date 2026-12-31

Related Categories

weather climate-science science natural-disasters earthquakes