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How much revenue will the U.S. raise from tariffs in 2025?

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The U.S. government collected $82.2b in customs duties in FY 2025 (See: https://www.fiscal.treasury.gov/files/reports-statements/financial-report/2024/notes-to-the-financial-statements19.pdf). This market will resolve according to the value of costumes duties collected in FY 2025 according to the Financial Report of the United States Government published by the Treasury Department for FY 2025 (See: https://www.fiscal.treasury.gov/reports-statements/financial-report/) If the Treasury Department does not publish relevant data for FY 2025 by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The resolution source will be the Treasury Department.

Markets (6)

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Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?

$1,117,011 vol $0 liquidity
77¢
YES
23¢
NO

Will the U.S. collect between $100b and $200b in revenue in 2025?

$960,193 vol $0 liquidity
YES
96¢
NO

Will the U.S. collect between $200b and $500b in revenue in 2025?

$589,464 vol $0 liquidity
19¢
YES
81¢
NO

Will the U.S. collect between $500b and $1t in revenue in 2025?

$529,547 vol $0 liquidity
YES
100¢
NO

Will the U.S. collect between $1t and $2t in revenue in 2025?

$387,816 vol $0 liquidity
YES
100¢
NO

Will the U.S. collect more than $2t in revenue in 2025?

$350,704 vol $0 liquidity
YES
100¢
NO

Event Stats

Total Volume $3,934,735
Liquidity $131,202
Markets 6
End Date 2026-02-28