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This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report for January 2026. The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for the month in question. The next data release is scheduled for February 6, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution. If no data for January is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Markets (6)

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Will the January 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?

$1,691 vol $2,352 liquidity Ends: 2026-02-06
26¢
YES
74¢
NO

This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the ...

Will the January 2026 unemployment rate be 4.5%?

$1,574 vol $2,269 liquidity Ends: 2026-02-06
22¢
YES
78¢
NO

This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the ...

Will the January 2026 unemployment rate be 4.6%?

$14,800 vol $2,311 liquidity Ends: 2026-02-06
YES
92¢
NO

This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the ...

Will the January 2026 unemployment rate be ≤4.2%?

$1,617 vol $1,828 liquidity Ends: 2026-02-06
YES
94¢
NO

This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the ...

Will the January 2026 unemployment rate be 4.4%?

$14,459 vol $3,474 liquidity Ends: 2026-02-06
34¢
YES
66¢
NO

This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the ...

Will the January 2026 unemployment rate be ≥4.7%?

$4,382 vol $4,994 liquidity Ends: 2026-02-06
YES
98¢
NO

This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the ...

Event Stats

24h Volume $4,771
Total Volume $38,522
Liquidity $17,228
Markets 6
End Date 2026-02-06