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Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?

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The Fields Medal is a prize regarded as the top award in the field of mathematics worldwide. It is awarded to two, three, or four mathematicians under 40 years of age at the International Congress of the International Mathematical Union (IMU), a meeting that takes place every four years. The International Congress of Mathematicians 2026 (ICM 2026) is scheduled to take place from July 23 to July 30, 2026. This market will resolve according to the winners of the 2026 Fields medal. If the 2026 Fields medalists are not announced by August 15, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the IMU (https://www.mathunion.org/imu-awards/fields-medal), however other credible reporting may be used.

Markets (10)

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Will Jack Thorne win the 2026 Fields Medal?

$3,705 vol $0 liquidity
32¢
YES
68¢
NO

Will Julian Sahasrabudhe win the 2026 Fields Medal?

$2,502 vol $0 liquidity
48¢
YES
52¢
NO

Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?

$2 vol $0 liquidity
70¢
YES
30¢
NO

Will John Pardon win the 2026 Fields Medal?

$2 vol $0 liquidity
42¢
YES
58¢
NO

Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?

$2 vol $0 liquidity
48¢
YES
52¢
NO

Will Sam Raskin win the 2026 Fields Medal?

$2 vol $0 liquidity
26¢
YES
74¢
NO

Will Alexander Efimov win the 2026 Fields Medal?

$2 vol $0 liquidity
14¢
YES
86¢
NO

Will Aleksandr Logunov win the 2026 Fields Medal?

$2 vol $0 liquidity
22¢
YES
78¢
NO

Will Jacob Tsimerman win the 2026 Fields Medal?

$2 vol $0 liquidity
60¢
YES
40¢
NO

Will Will Sawin win the 2026 Fields Medal?

$2 vol $0 liquidity
27¢
YES
73¢
NO

Event Stats

Total Volume $6,223
Liquidity $2,837
Markets 10
End Date 2026-07-30