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This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Gaza soil on the listed date Israel Standard Time (IST). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Gaza ground territory. A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip counts, including buffer zones. Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Gaza territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify. The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Israeli or foreign), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers. If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.

Markets (28)

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Will Israel strike Gaza on February 4, 2026?

$26,343 vol $2,782 liquidity Ends: 2026-02-28
33¢
YES
67¢
NO

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Gaza soil on the listed date Israel Standard Time (IST). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the ...

Will Israel strike Gaza on February 12, 2026?

$0 vol $0 liquidity Ends: 2026-02-28

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Gaza soil on the listed date Israel Standard Time (IST). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the ...

Will Israel strike Gaza on February 14, 2026?

$0 vol $0 liquidity Ends: 2026-02-28

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Gaza soil on the listed date Israel Standard Time (IST). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the ...

Will Israel strike Gaza on February 15, 2026?

$0 vol $0 liquidity Ends: 2026-02-28

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Gaza soil on the listed date Israel Standard Time (IST). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the ...

Will Israel strike Gaza on February 22, 2026?

$0 vol $0 liquidity Ends: 2026-02-28

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Gaza soil on the listed date Israel Standard Time (IST). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the ...

Will Israel strike Gaza on February 1, 2026?

$87,542 vol $11,577 liquidity Ends: 2026-02-28
YES
100¢
NO

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Gaza soil on the listed date Israel Standard Time (IST). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the ...

Will Israel strike Gaza on February 3, 2026?

$23,417 vol $5,212 liquidity Ends: 2026-02-28
22¢
YES
78¢
NO

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Gaza soil on the listed date Israel Standard Time (IST). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the ...

Will Israel strike Gaza on February 9, 2026?

$0 vol $0 liquidity Ends: 2026-02-28

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Gaza soil on the listed date Israel Standard Time (IST). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the ...

Will Israel strike Gaza on February 11, 2026?

$0 vol $0 liquidity Ends: 2026-02-28

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Gaza soil on the listed date Israel Standard Time (IST). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the ...

Will Israel strike Gaza on February 16, 2026?

$0 vol $0 liquidity Ends: 2026-02-28

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Gaza soil on the listed date Israel Standard Time (IST). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the ...

Will Israel strike Gaza on February 18, 2026?

$0 vol $0 liquidity Ends: 2026-02-28

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Gaza soil on the listed date Israel Standard Time (IST). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the ...

Will Israel strike Gaza on February 23, 2026?

$0 vol $0 liquidity Ends: 2026-02-28

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Gaza soil on the listed date Israel Standard Time (IST). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the ...

Will Israel strike Gaza on February 24, 2026?

$0 vol $0 liquidity Ends: 2026-02-28

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Gaza soil on the listed date Israel Standard Time (IST). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the ...

Will Israel strike Gaza on February 5, 2026?

$17,773 vol $2,346 liquidity Ends: 2026-02-28
36¢
YES
64¢
NO

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Gaza soil on the listed date Israel Standard Time (IST). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the ...

Will Israel strike Gaza on February 6, 2026?

$17,615 vol $2,174 liquidity Ends: 2026-02-28
32¢
YES
68¢
NO

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Gaza soil on the listed date Israel Standard Time (IST). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the ...

Will Israel strike Gaza on February 10, 2026?

$0 vol $0 liquidity Ends: 2026-02-28

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Gaza soil on the listed date Israel Standard Time (IST). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the ...

Will Israel strike Gaza on February 17, 2026?

$0 vol $0 liquidity Ends: 2026-02-28

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Gaza soil on the listed date Israel Standard Time (IST). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the ...

Will Israel strike Gaza on February 21, 2026?

$0 vol $0 liquidity Ends: 2026-02-28

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Gaza soil on the listed date Israel Standard Time (IST). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the ...

Will Israel strike Gaza on February 25, 2026?

$0 vol $0 liquidity Ends: 2026-02-28

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Gaza soil on the listed date Israel Standard Time (IST). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the ...

Will Israel strike Gaza on February 28, 2026?

$0 vol $0 liquidity Ends: 2026-02-28

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Gaza soil on the listed date Israel Standard Time (IST). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the ...

Will Israel strike Gaza on February 2, 2026?

$127,237 vol $4,173 liquidity Ends: 2026-02-28
YES
98¢
NO

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Gaza soil on the listed date Israel Standard Time (IST). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the ...

Will Israel strike Gaza on February 7, 2026?

$10,038 vol $2,277 liquidity Ends: 2026-02-28
40¢
YES
60¢
NO

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Gaza soil on the listed date Israel Standard Time (IST). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the ...

Will Israel strike Gaza on February 8, 2026?

$0 vol $0 liquidity Ends: 2026-02-28

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Gaza soil on the listed date Israel Standard Time (IST). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the ...

Will Israel strike Gaza on February 13, 2026?

$0 vol $0 liquidity Ends: 2026-02-28

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Gaza soil on the listed date Israel Standard Time (IST). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the ...

Will Israel strike Gaza on February 19, 2026?

$0 vol $0 liquidity Ends: 2026-02-28

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Gaza soil on the listed date Israel Standard Time (IST). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the ...

Will Israel strike Gaza on February 20, 2026?

$0 vol $0 liquidity Ends: 2026-02-28

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Gaza soil on the listed date Israel Standard Time (IST). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the ...

Will Israel strike Gaza on February 26, 2026?

$0 vol $0 liquidity Ends: 2026-02-28

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Gaza soil on the listed date Israel Standard Time (IST). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the ...

Will Israel strike Gaza on February 27, 2026?

$0 vol $0 liquidity Ends: 2026-02-28

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Gaza soil on the listed date Israel Standard Time (IST). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the ...

Event Stats

24h Volume $160,696
Total Volume $309,965
Liquidity $30,828
Markets 28
End Date 2026-02-28