🏷️ Geopolitics

50 active events

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U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?

$10,424,510 24h vol $17,003,474 total Jan 31, 2026
Politics mexico World Venezuela
100¢
YES
0¢
NO

US strikes Iran by...?

$6,202,605 24h vol $159,709,951 total 29 markets Jun 30, 2026
Geopolitics Politics Middle East World
1¢
YES
99¢
NO

Who will Trump talk to in January?

$2,280,113 24h vol $10,730,386 total 18 markets Jan 31, 2026
Politics Geopolitics Trump Davos
0¢
YES
100¢
NO

US next strikes Iran on...?

$1,253,842 24h vol $4,562,676 total 30 markets Feb 28, 2026
Israel Iran World Middle East
0¢
YES
100¢
NO

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

$377,935 24h vol $14,671,980 total 57 markets Dec 31, 2026
Trump-Machado Venezuela Trump Politics
12¢
YES
88¢
NO

Next Country US Strikes

$321,069 24h vol $874,432 total 12 markets Dec 31, 2026
Geopolitics Trump Iran Politics
1¢
YES
99¢
NO

Next leader out of power before 2027?

$295,823 24h vol $4,829,686 total 27 markets Dec 31, 2026
Geopolitics Politics World
1¢
YES
99¢
NO
LIVE

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

LIVE
$264,545 24h vol $13,019,733 total Aug 18, 19:00 UTC
Geopolitics Foreign Policy Trump Presidency World
12¢
YES
88¢
NO

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

$239,056 24h vol $4,438,996 total Feb 28, 2026
Geopolitics Middle East Iran
10¢
YES
90¢
NO

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?

$214,007 24h vol $1,584,855 total Feb 28, 2026
zelensky Trump-Zelenskyy Ukraine Peace Deal World
4¢
YES
96¢
NO

US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31?

$194,550 24h vol $404,010 total Mar 31, 2026
Politics Iran World Foreign Policy
96¢
YES
4¢
NO

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

$187,171 24h vol $3,580,064 total Mar 31, 2026
Israel Politics World Middle East
10¢
YES
90¢
NO

US/Israel strikes Iran by...?

$183,506 24h vol $9,808,301 total 29 markets Feb 15, 2026
Iran Middle East World Israel
24¢
YES
76¢
NO

Will Israel strike Gaza on...?

$160,696 24h vol $309,965 total 28 markets Feb 28, 2026
Daily Strikes Politics hamas Gaza
33¢
YES
67¢
NO
LIVE

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

LIVE
$157,769 24h vol $8,305,608 total Aug 18, 19:00 UTC
World Ukraine Geopolitics Politics
46¢
YES
55¢
NO

Russia strike on Kyiv municipality on...?

$153,255 24h vol $246,664 total 28 markets Feb 28, 2026
putin Daily Strikes Geopolitics russia
100¢
YES
0¢
NO

Will Israel strike Lebanon on...?

$150,006 24h vol $351,285 total 28 markets Feb 28, 2026
Politics World Lebanon Geopolitics
22¢
YES
78¢
NO

U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?

$136,886 24h vol $239,914 total Mar 31, 2026
World mexico Venezuela Politics
32¢
YES
68¢
NO

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

$118,890 24h vol $486,993 total Jun 30, 2026
Ukraine Peace Deal World Politics Foreign Policy
26¢
YES
74¢
NO

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?

$114,834 24h vol $2,082,532 total Dec 31, 2026
Geopolitics Middle East World Politics
42¢
YES
57¢
NO

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

$114,704 24h vol $3,648,022 total Dec 31, 2026
Israel Iran Trump World
30¢
YES
70¢
NO

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

$101,287 24h vol $7,494,631 total Dec 31, 2026
Politics Greenland Trump Geopolitics
20¢
YES
80¢
NO

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

$79,353 24h vol $9,050,358 total Mar 31, 2026
Politics Middle East Geopolitics World
18¢
YES
82¢
NO

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

$76,455 24h vol $8,030,362 total Dec 31, 2026
Foreign Policy China Politics World
12¢
YES
88¢
NO

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

$68,148 24h vol $3,694,712 total 71 markets Oct 10, 2026
Awards Politics Geopolitics World
12¢
YES
88¢
NO

U.S. strike on Somalia by February 7?

$67,261 24h vol $121,669 total Feb 07, 2026
Trump somalia Geopolitics Politics
88¢
YES
12¢
NO

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?

$66,682 24h vol $101,662 total Mar 31, 2026
Geopolitics Trump nuclear Politics
25¢
YES
75¢
NO

Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by...?

$65,019 24h vol $4,597,759 total 11 markets Mar 31, 2026
Iran Israel Geopolitics Politics
0¢
YES
100¢
NO

Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

$57,998 24h vol $348,416 total Feb 28, 2026
Iran Middle East Israel Politics
16¢
YES
84¢
NO

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

$52,513 24h vol $4,065,574 total Jun 30, 2026
Politics World Iran Khamenei
26¢
YES
74¢
NO

US strike on Mexico by...?

$39,483 24h vol $2,257,398 total 3 markets Dec 31, 2026
Politics Trump Venezuela Geopolitics
27¢
YES
73¢
NO

US strike on Cuba by...?

$38,903 24h vol $971,319 total 3 markets Dec 31, 2026
Geopolitics Politics Venezuela
6¢
YES
94¢
NO

Yoon Suk Yeol Insurrection Case Prison Time?

$35,148 24h vol $2,057,147 total 7 markets Dec 31, 2026
Politics Geopolitics South Korea
5¢
YES
95¢
NO

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

$34,547 24h vol $1,178,927 total Jun 30, 2026
Iran Israel Middle East Geopolitics
20¢
YES
80¢
NO

Xi Jinping out by June 30?

$34,424 24h vol $1,208,837 total Jun 30, 2026
Geopolitics World
3¢
YES
97¢
NO

Will Russia capture Lyman by...?

$31,888 24h vol $1,370,146 total 5 markets Mar 31, 2026
Ukraine Geopolitics world affairs Politics
0¢
YES
100¢
NO

Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

$31,560 24h vol $1,739,033 total Mar 31, 2026
Gaza Iran Politics Israel
32¢
YES
68¢
NO

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

$29,620 24h vol $1,458,888 total Dec 31, 2026
Politics Ukraine Geopolitics World
22¢
YES
78¢
NO

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

$28,225 24h vol $721,814 total Dec 31, 2026
Politics World taiwan Foreign Policy
15¢
YES
85¢
NO

Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by…?

$27,632 24h vol $3,267,815 total 6 markets Dec 31, 2025
putin Politics Ukraine Ukraine Map
0¢
YES
100¢
NO

Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?

$26,869 24h vol $1,893,194 total Mar 31, 2026
Foreign Policy Geopolitics Earn 4% China
1¢
YES
99¢
NO

Iran Strike on Israel by...?

$23,346 24h vol $1,162,790 total 3 markets Feb 28, 2026
Middle East Khamenei Politics Israel
16¢
YES
84¢
NO

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

$22,976 24h vol $58,732 total Jun 30, 2026
Middle East World Iran Israel
46¢
YES
54¢
NO

Will Witkoff meet with Iranian officials by February 28?

$21,825 24h vol $33,731 total Feb 28, 2026
Geopolitics Business Iran Middle East
82¢
YES
18¢
NO

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by...?

$20,149 24h vol $4,651,754 total 9 markets Dec 31, 2025
Ukraine Politics World Geopolitics
0¢
YES
100¢
NO

Another critical Cloudflare incident by...?

$19,696 24h vol $964,051 total 4 markets Jan 31, 2026
Culture hack Politics Geopolitics
0¢
YES
100¢
NO

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?

$18,927 24h vol $2,048,209 total 7 markets Dec 31, 2025
Politics Gaza Geopolitics Israel
0¢
YES
100¢
NO

Hezbollah strike on Israel by March 31?

$18,287 24h vol $108,052 total Mar 31, 2026
Israel Lebanon Geopolitics World
28¢
YES
72¢
NO

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by...?

$17,715 24h vol $280,543 total 3 markets Dec 31, 2025
Israel World Middle East Politics
0¢
YES
100¢
NO

Iran strike on Qatar by January 31?

$17,429 24h vol $231,649 total 2 markets Jan 31, 2026
Politics Middle East Khamenei Geopolitics
0¢
YES
100¢
NO